Market Index · Phase 1

The JW50 Index

A market index of the 50 cards that made the junk-wax hobby.

JW50
833.86
50 cards · equal weight
JW50-PSA9
1,384.11
50 cards · equal weight
JW50-PSA10
3,220.31
50 cards · equal weight
as of Jul 18, 2026 (inception)
Refreshed every 6 hours. Data may lag live listings by up to 6 hours.

Basket value

Total dollar cost to assemble the JW50 at each condition tier.

JW50 basket
$867.57
+9.2% YoY 50 cards
JW50-PSA9 basket
$5,944
+42.0% YoY 50 cards
JW50-PSA10 basket
$58,000
+103.1% YoY 50 cards
Total dollar cost to assemble all 50 cards at each grade
JW50 Index history

Top movers

12-month price change across the 50 constituents. Pick an index tier.

12-month movers

What is the JW50 Index?

The JW50 Index is an equal-weighted aggregate of the 50 cards catalogued in the Junk Wax Museum, published as a running market read on the 1984 to 1993 era. Think of it as an S&P 500 for junk wax: a small, curated basket that tracks how a specific slice of cardboard moves.

Four values are published in parallel, one per condition tier: raw, PSA 8, PSA 9, and PSA 10. Each value uses the same 50 constituents and the same weighting method, which lets you read the spread between raw and slabbed prices at a glance. When raw runs ahead of PSA 10, buyers are chasing the story. When PSA 10 pulls away, capital is flowing into condition scarcity.

This is not a portfolio and it is not a price guide. It is a fixed basket that reflects the museum's editorial view of which junk-wax cards actually matter, valued at consistent grades, so the index moves for one reason: prices moved.

Methodology

  • Universe The 50 cards in the Junk Wax Museum. Three cards are deliberately excluded on era-boundary grounds: the 1986 Fleer Jordan (pre-era vintage), the 1993 SP Derek Jeter #279 (post-era foilboard premium), and the 1993 Topps Finest Griffey Refractor #110 (post-era parallel chase). See the section below.
  • Weighting Equal-weighted geometric mean of card medians. Each card contributes 1/N to the basket. Geometric mean is standard for equal-weighted price indices and is less sensitive to outliers than an arithmetic mean.
  • Grades Four parallel series: raw, PSA 8, PSA 9, PSA 10.
  • Data sources eBay Browse API for raw medians; PSA Auction Prices Realized for graded medians. Currently seeding at inception; real data flows in Phase 2.
  • Refresh cadence Raw prices are pulled from the eBay Browse API every 6 hours (00:00, 06:00, 12:00, 18:00 Pacific). Displayed prices may lag live listings by up to 6 hours. Per eBay's API license, any listing-derived data older than 6 hours is either refreshed or disclosed as stale.
  • Base value 1000.00 on 2026-07-15 for all four grades.
  • Rebalancing None. The index tracks the JW50's fixed 50 constituents. If the JW50 adds or removes a card, the index constituents change with it and any methodology change is noted here.
  • Base-card proxy A handful of constituents are error variants whose data provider does not index the variant separately. For those cards the variant remains the editorial entry, but the price is sourced from the corresponding base card (same set, same card number, no error). These rows are marked "via base" in the constituent table.

Which cards are excluded from the JW50 Index, and why

Three cards are deliberately excluded from the JW50 and therefore from the JW50 Index. One arrived before the junk-wax era and two arrived after it. All three are important cards in their own right; none fit the specific decade the JW50 measures.

The 1986 Fleer Jordan (pre-era). The 1986-87 Fleer Basketball set is universally treated by the hobby as scarce vintage, not junk wax. Print runs were modest, Fleer had just reclaimed the NBA license, and demand for basketball wax in 1986 was thin enough that most of what was printed was quietly consumed rather than saved. That is the opposite of what the junk-wax label describes. Basketball's actual junk-wax era begins in 1989, when NBA Hoops arrived with mass-production levels that already defined baseball wax. The 1986 Fleer Jordan predates it by three years and trades at price levels an order of magnitude above every other card from the surrounding years.

The 1993 SP Derek Jeter #279 and the 1993 Topps Finest Griffey Refractor #110 (post-era). These two cards close the era together. SP defined the premium foilboard set format: thin foilboard cardstock, premium pricing, and condition-scarcity chase economics arriving as a mainstream product. Topps Finest defined the parallel-chase mechanic: the color-shifting refractor pulled at 1:9 packs, the first meaningful serialized parallel in modern trading cards. Every foilboard premium set and every rainbow parallel the industry has produced since 1994 descends from one or both of those inventions. Both cards are physically dated 1993, but their economics belong to the insert era that followed, not to the mass-produced flagship rookie tier the JW50 documents. The Jeter slot in Baseball Icons goes to the 1993 Topps #98, the last flagship mass-produced Jeter rookie on standard cardstock. The Griffey slot is fully occupied by the 1989 Upper Deck #1 flagship and the Griffey Phenomenon subwing that surrounds it.

Including any of the three would swing the index around a single outlier and misrepresent the era the index exists to measure. Excluding all three keeps the basket honest. The 1991 Upper Deck SP1 remains the Jordan flagship inside the JW50's junk-wax scope, the 1993 Topps #98 is the Jeter flagship, and the 1989 Upper Deck #1 is the Griffey flagship. The SP Jeter is documented as an honorable mention on the Topps Jeter page. The Finest Refractor's exclusion story lives on the methodology page, with inbound traffic to the retired card URL redirecting there so the reasoning stays discoverable.

Constituents

50 cards
Rank Year Brand Player
#1 1989 Upper Deck · #1 Ken Griffey Jr.
#2 1991 Upper Deck · #SP1 Michael Jordan
#3 1990 Score · #697 Bo Jackson (Shoulder Pads) via base
#4 1989 Fleer · #616 Billy Ripken (FF)
#5 1990 Topps · #414 Frank Thomas (No Name on Front (NNOF)) via base
#6 1985 Topps · #401 Mark McGwire
#7 1986 Donruss · #39 Jose Canseco
#8 1984 Donruss · #248 Don Mattingly
#9 1987 Topps · #320 Barry Bonds
#10 1990 Leaf · #300 Frank Thomas
#11 1993 Topps · #98 Derek Jeter
#12 1989 NBA Hoops · #138 David Robinson (Rookie)
#13 1992 Upper Deck · #1 Shaquille O'Neal (Draft Pick)
#14 1989 Upper Deck · #774 Nolan Ryan (Throwing Football)
#15 1989 Score · #257 Barry Sanders
#16 1990 Hoops · #223 Sam Vincent (Jordan wearing #12) via base
#17 1991 Stadium Club · #200 Nolan Ryan (Tuxedo) via base
#18 1990 Score · #1 Joe Montana (Card #1)
#19 1989 Donruss · #33 Ken Griffey Jr.
#20 1985 Topps · #181 Roger Clemens
#21 1987 Topps · #170 Bo Jackson
#22 1989 NBA Hoops · #200 Michael Jordan
#23 1991 Topps · #333 Chipper Jones (Rookie)
#24 1991 Upper Deck · #572 Ken Griffey Sr. & Jr. (The Griffeys)
#25 1990 SkyBox · #41 Michael Jordan
#26 1988 O-Pee-Chee · #120 Wayne Gretzky (First Kings card)
#27 1989 Topps Traded · #41T Ken Griffey Jr.
#28 1985 Topps GPK · #8a Garbage Pail Kids (Adam Bomb)
#29 1989 Fleer · #548 Ken Griffey Jr.
#30 1990 Pro Set · #293 Joe Montana (Base)
#31 1989 Score · #270 Troy Aikman (Rookie)
#32 1989 Score · #246 Deion Sanders
#33 1990 Donruss · #33 Juan Gonzalez (Reverse Negative) via base
#34 1990 Hoops · #205 Mark Jackson (Menendez Brothers) via base
#35 1990 Pro Set · #685 Emmitt Smith
#36 1992 Bowman · #302 Mariano Rivera
#37 1989 Fleer · #381 Randy Johnson (Marlboro) via base
#38 1990 Upper Deck · #356 Jaromír Jágr
#39 1989 Upper Deck · #357 Dale Murphy (Reverse Negative)
#40 1989 Score Traded · #100T Ken Griffey Jr.
#41 1989 Bowman · #220 Ken Griffey Jr.
#42 1990 Pro Set Santa Claus
#43 1990 NBA Hoops · #157 Magic Johnson (Base)
#44 1992 Impel X-Men · #2 Wolverine
#45 1990 Impel · #29 Spider-Man
#46 1992 SkyBox Marvel Masterpieces · #87 Spider-Man
#47 1991 Pro Set · #69 Saddam Hussein (Desert Storm)
#48 1990 Score · #440 Eric Lindros (Future Superstar)
#49 1990 Pro Set · #204 Fred Marion (Belt Error)
#50 1988 Donruss · #657 Gregg Jefferies

"via base" indicates the raw price is sourced from the corresponding base card because the error variant is not indexed separately. See Methodology for the full explanation.

Disclosures

The JW50 Index is an editorial market read, not investment advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, grade, submit, or trade any card.

Published values are historical and backward-looking. Prices shown reflect aggregate auction and listing data as of the "as of" date and can move materially between snapshots. Individual card outcomes will vary from the index by wide margins.

Methodology may evolve. If constituents, weighting, grades, or data sources change, the change is documented here and, where practical, historical values are recomputed for comparability. Current base value is 1000.00 on 2026-07-15.

Data sources include the eBay Browse API and PSA Auction Prices Realized. eBay links on the site use the eBay Partner Network, disclosed separately on the methodology page.